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Guerilla Bay – current water temperature and swimming conditions

This page shows the current water temperature at Guerilla Bay in New South Wales. You can view recent sea temperature trends on a 30-day chart, check typical monthly water temperature ranges, and compare today’s reading with historical averages for this date. The page also includes a 7-day water temperature forecast, nearby beaches with similar conditions, local weather information, and a summary of swimming conditions to help you assess how suitable the water is for swimming.

Guerilla Bay
Guerilla Bay © Maria Goodenough

Current Sea Water Temperature

18.6°C
Today
18.9°C
Yesterday
19.0°C
A Week Ago

The average sea water temperature today in Guerilla Bay is about 19°C.

Water Temperature in Guerilla Bay: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast

⚠️ Water in this range feels cool but still manageable for many swimmers. Short to moderate swims are comfortable, especially in warm weather. Some people may prefer a wetsuit for longer stays, particularly when swimming actively or outside peak summer conditions.

It’s important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in settled weather. When air temperatures drop below 20°C — and sometimes even below 25°C — swimming can feel uncomfortable, even when water temperatures are relatively high.

Water Temperature Over the Last 30 Days

From September 15 to October 15

Over the past 30 days, water temperatures in Guerilla Bay have generally increased, although a slight cooling trend has set in over the last week.

According to our forecast, Sea water temperature in Guerilla Bay will be 18.4°C in the next 7 days. See the table below for daily data for the upcoming week.

Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data

Date Current Average Forecast
Oct 719.0°C17.8°C
Oct 819.2°C17.8°C
Oct 919.0°C18.0°C
Oct 1018.9°C18.0°C
Oct 1118.9°C18.0°C
Oct 1219.2°C18.3°C
Oct 1319.1°C18.3°C
Oct 1418.9°C18.3°C
Oct 1518.6°C18.3°C18.6°C
Oct 1618.0°C18.6°C
Oct 1718.0°C18.5°C
Oct 1818.0°C18.5°C
Oct 1917.8°C18.5°C
Oct 2018.0°C18.5°C
Oct 2118.3°C18.4°C
Oct 2218.0°C18.4°C

* Current - Actual water temperature value

** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years

*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast

Actual near-shore water temperatures in Guerilla Bay can vary by several degrees from the values shown, particularly after heavy rain, strong southerlies, or prolonged windy conditions. Certain wind patterns can trigger upwelling, where cooler, deeper water is pushed to the surface and replaces the warmer top layer, leading to noticeable short-term changes in water temperature.

Our water temperature forecast is produced using a proprietary mathematical model that combines real-time measurements with long-term historical patterns, local weather conditions, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each coastal region. To improve accuracy, we cross-check data from nearby locations and use multiple sources, including offshore buoys, satellite-based sea surface maps, and observations provided by local authorities.

Annual Water Temperature Overview by Month

Monthly Water Temp Ranges

30°C
25°C
20°C
15°C
10°c
5°C
0°C

Annual Water Temperature Trend

Guerilla Bay lies on the Far South Coast of New South Wales between Batemans Bay and Moruya, opening directly onto the Tasman Sea. Water temperatures here are noticeably cooler than further north, with a clear seasonal pattern. In summer, the ocean usually sits around 20–23 °C, which feels refreshing and comfortable for swimming on warm days. Autumn often remains mild, with temperatures commonly between 18–21 °C, while spring is cooler at roughly 16–19 °C as the sea slowly warms after winter. During winter, water temperatures typically drop to about 14–16 °C, which can feel very cold without a wetsuit and limits most swims to short, bracing dips.

Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)

Month Min Avg Max
January18°C23°C25°C
February21°C23°C25°C
March20°C22°C25°C
April19°C22°C25°C
May17°C20°C22°C
June16°C19°C23°C
July14°C18°C19°C
August14°C17°C20°C
September15°C17°C20°C
October15°C18°C21°C
November17°C19°C22°C
December17°C20°C23°C

* Click on a month to view detailed water temperature data.

Guerilla Bay: Weather Forecast

October 16

14°C / 18°C
light rain
humidity: 68% | wind: 11 kmh

October 17

12°C / 18°C
light rain
humidity: 71% | wind: 11 kmh

October 18

12°C / 19°C
clear sky
humidity: 72% | wind: 14 kmh

Local Water Conditions and Nearby Spots

Nearby Beaches and Water Temperatures

Guerilla Bay

⭐ 3.6/5
18.0°C

Guerilla Bay Beach

⭐ 3.1/5
18.2°C

Guerilla Small Beach

⭐ 2.6/5
18.1°C

Rosedale Beach

⭐ 3.5/5
18.2°C

Barlings Beach

⭐ 4.3/5
17.5°C

Pebble N Shell Beach

⭐ 3.5/5
19.5°C

Nanny Bay

⭐ 3.2/5
17.7°C

Mckenzie's Beach

⭐ 3.2/5
19.3°C

Tomakin Cove

⭐ 2.8/5
18.9°C

Swimming Conditions

Swimming at Guerilla Bay is allowed and can be excellent when conditions are right. The bay is partly protected by headlands, which can reduce the impact of strong Tasman Sea swells and create calmer water compared to fully exposed beaches nearby. This makes swimming possible for confident swimmers on many summer days, particularly when the sea is settled. However, waves and currents can still be present, so conditions change quickly and awareness is important. In cooler months, most swimmers either keep swims brief or wear wetsuits. Overall, Guerilla Bay offers clean, clear water, distinct seasonal temperatures, and rewarding swimming in a scenic and relatively sheltered coastal setting.

🏄‍♀️ Nearby Surf Spots and Water Temperatures

Pink Rocks

⭐ 4/5
18.0°C

Tomaga Rivermouth

⭐ 2/5
17.8°C

Mckenzies Beach

⭐ 2/5
18.7°C

North Broulee

⭐ 3/5
19.2°C

Malua Bay

⭐ 3/5
18.1°C

Mosquito Bay

⭐ 2/5
18.6°C

South Broulee

⭐ 3/5
19.0°C

Denhams Beach

⭐ 2/5
18.8°C

Broulee Main Beach (S end)

⭐ 3/5
18.5°C

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the sea water temperature in Guerilla Bay today?
Sea water temperature in Guerilla Bay in the Tasman Sea today is 19°C.
What is the water temperature in Guerilla Bay during summer?
During summer, the water temperature in Guerilla Bay typically ranges from 17°C to 25°C.
What is the water temperature in Guerilla Bay during autumn?
During autumn, the water temperature in Guerilla Bay typically ranges from 17°C to 25°C.
What is the water temperature in Guerilla Bay during spring?
During spring, the sea water temperature in Guerilla Bay typically ranges from 15°C to 22°C.
What is the water temperature in Guerilla Bay during winter?
During winter, the sea water temperature in Guerilla Bay typically ranges from 14°C to 23°C.
Which beaches are popular in the Guerilla Bay area?
Some of the most popular beaches in the Guerilla Bay area include: Guerilla Bay, Guerilla Bay Beach, Guerilla Small Beach, Rosedale Beach, Tomakin Cove.
What are the nearest surf spots to Guerilla Bay?
Some of the closest surf spots near Guerilla Bay include Pink Rocks, Mckenzies Beach, Tomaga Rivermouth.