Guerilla Bay – current water temperature and swimming conditions
This page shows the current water temperature at Guerilla Bay in New South Wales. You can view recent sea temperature trends on a 30-day chart, check typical monthly water temperature ranges, and compare today’s reading with historical averages for this date. The page also includes a 7-day water temperature forecast, nearby beaches with similar conditions, local weather information, and a summary of swimming conditions to help you assess how suitable the water is for swimming.
Current Sea Water Temperature
The average sea water temperature today in Guerilla Bay is about 19°C.
Water Temperature in Guerilla Bay: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast
⚠️ Water in this range feels cool but still manageable for many swimmers. Short to moderate swims are comfortable, especially in warm weather. Some people may prefer a wetsuit for longer stays, particularly when swimming actively or outside peak summer conditions.
It’s important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in settled weather. When air temperatures drop below 20°C — and sometimes even below 25°C — swimming can feel uncomfortable, even when water temperatures are relatively high.
Water Temperature Over the Last 30 Days
Over the past 30 days, water temperatures in Guerilla Bay have generally increased, although a slight cooling trend has set in over the last week.
According to our forecast, Sea water temperature in Guerilla Bay will be 18.4°C in the next 7 days. See the table below for daily data for the upcoming week.
Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data
| Date | Current | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | 19.0°C | 17.8°C | |
| Oct 8 | 19.2°C | 17.8°C | |
| Oct 9 | 19.0°C | 18.0°C | |
| Oct 10 | 18.9°C | 18.0°C | |
| Oct 11 | 18.9°C | 18.0°C | |
| Oct 12 | 19.2°C | 18.3°C | |
| Oct 13 | 19.1°C | 18.3°C | |
| Oct 14 | 18.9°C | 18.3°C | |
| Oct 15 | 18.6°C | 18.3°C | 18.6°C |
| Oct 16 | 18.0°C | 18.6°C | |
| Oct 17 | 18.0°C | 18.5°C | |
| Oct 18 | 18.0°C | 18.5°C | |
| Oct 19 | 17.8°C | 18.5°C | |
| Oct 20 | 18.0°C | 18.5°C | |
| Oct 21 | 18.3°C | 18.4°C | |
| Oct 22 | 18.0°C | 18.4°C |
* Current - Actual water temperature value
** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years
*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast
Actual near-shore water temperatures in Guerilla Bay can vary by several degrees from the values shown, particularly after heavy rain, strong southerlies, or prolonged windy conditions. Certain wind patterns can trigger upwelling, where cooler, deeper water is pushed to the surface and replaces the warmer top layer, leading to noticeable short-term changes in water temperature.
Our water temperature forecast is produced using a proprietary mathematical model that combines real-time measurements with long-term historical patterns, local weather conditions, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each coastal region. To improve accuracy, we cross-check data from nearby locations and use multiple sources, including offshore buoys, satellite-based sea surface maps, and observations provided by local authorities.
Annual Water Temperature Overview by Month
Monthly Water Temp Ranges
Annual Water Temperature Trend
Guerilla Bay lies on the Far South Coast of New South Wales between Batemans Bay and Moruya, opening directly onto the Tasman Sea. Water temperatures here are noticeably cooler than further north, with a clear seasonal pattern. In summer, the ocean usually sits around 20–23 °C, which feels refreshing and comfortable for swimming on warm days. Autumn often remains mild, with temperatures commonly between 18–21 °C, while spring is cooler at roughly 16–19 °C as the sea slowly warms after winter. During winter, water temperatures typically drop to about 14–16 °C, which can feel very cold without a wetsuit and limits most swims to short, bracing dips.
Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)
| Month | Min | Avg | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 18°C | 23°C | 25°C |
| February | 21°C | 23°C | 25°C |
| March | 20°C | 22°C | 25°C |
| April | 19°C | 22°C | 25°C |
| May | 17°C | 20°C | 22°C |
| June | 16°C | 19°C | 23°C |
| July | 14°C | 18°C | 19°C |
| August | 14°C | 17°C | 20°C |
| September | 15°C | 17°C | 20°C |
| October | 15°C | 18°C | 21°C |
| November | 17°C | 19°C | 22°C |
| December | 17°C | 20°C | 23°C |
* Click on a month to view detailed water temperature data.
Guerilla Bay: Weather Forecast
October 16
October 17
October 18
Local Water Conditions and Nearby Spots
Nearby Beaches and Water Temperatures
Guerilla Bay
Guerilla Bay Beach
Guerilla Small Beach
Rosedale Beach
Barlings Beach
Pebble N Shell Beach
Nanny Bay
Mckenzie's Beach
Tomakin Cove
Swimming Conditions
Swimming at Guerilla Bay is allowed and can be excellent when conditions are right. The bay is partly protected by headlands, which can reduce the impact of strong Tasman Sea swells and create calmer water compared to fully exposed beaches nearby. This makes swimming possible for confident swimmers on many summer days, particularly when the sea is settled. However, waves and currents can still be present, so conditions change quickly and awareness is important. In cooler months, most swimmers either keep swims brief or wear wetsuits. Overall, Guerilla Bay offers clean, clear water, distinct seasonal temperatures, and rewarding swimming in a scenic and relatively sheltered coastal setting.
🏄♀️ Nearby Surf Spots and Water Temperatures
Pink Rocks
Tomaga Rivermouth
Mckenzies Beach
North Broulee
Malua Bay
Mosquito Bay
South Broulee
Denhams Beach
Broulee Main Beach (S end)
Location, Type and Nearby Places
Address: 2536
Place Tags:Coastal Town
Water Temperature in Nearby Places
