Picnic Bay – current water temperature and swimming conditions
This page shows the current water temperature at Picnic Bay in Victoria. You can view recent sea temperature trends on a 30-day chart, check typical monthly water temperature ranges, and compare today’s reading with historical averages for this date. The page also includes a 7-day water temperature forecast, nearby beaches with similar conditions, local weather information, and a summary of swimming conditions to help you assess how suitable the water is for swimming.
Current Sea Water Temperature
The average sea water temperature today in Picnic Bay is about 18°C.
Water Temperature in Picnic Bay: Daily Trends, Historical Records, and Forecast
⚠️ This is cool water that may feel brisk on entry. Swimming is usually limited to short sessions, and prolonged stays can become uncomfortable without thermal protection. Many swimmers choose a wetsuit, especially for surfing or open-water swimming.
It’s important to note that these swimming tips and recommendations apply only in settled weather. When air temperatures drop below 20°C — and sometimes even below 25°C — swimming can feel uncomfortable, even when water temperatures are relatively high.
Water Temperature Over the Last 30 Days
Water temperatures in Picnic Bay have been gradually cooling over the past month, with a further drop recorded during the last week.
According to our forecast, Sea water temperature in Picnic Bay will be 18.7°C in the next 7 days. See the table below for daily data for the upcoming week.
Table of Daily Sea Temperature Data
| Date | Current | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | 18.7°C | 19.5°C | |
| Mar 13 | 18.7°C | 18.8°C | |
| Mar 14 | 18.2°C | 18.8°C | |
| Mar 15 | 18.1°C | 19.0°C | |
| Mar 16 | 18.0°C | 19.0°C | |
| Mar 17 | 17.8°C | 19.0°C | |
| Mar 18 | 17.9°C | 18.5°C | |
| Mar 19 | 18.0°C | 18.8°C | |
| Mar 20 | 17.9°C | 18.8°C | 17.9°C |
| Mar 21 | 19.0°C | 18.0°C | |
| Mar 22 | 18.7°C | 18.1°C | |
| Mar 23 | 19.0°C | 18.2°C | |
| Mar 24 | 19.0°C | 18.3°C | |
| Mar 25 | 18.7°C | 18.5°C | |
| Mar 26 | 19.0°C | 18.6°C | |
| Mar 27 | 18.7°C | 18.7°C |
* Current - Actual water temperature value
** Average - Average water temperature on this day in recent years
*** Forecast - Our water temperature forecast
Actual near-shore water temperatures in Picnic Bay can vary by several degrees from the values shown, particularly after heavy rain, strong southerlies, or prolonged windy conditions. Certain wind patterns can trigger upwelling, where cooler, deeper water is pushed to the surface and replaces the warmer top layer, leading to noticeable short-term changes in water temperature.
Our water temperature forecast is produced using a proprietary mathematical model that combines real-time measurements with long-term historical patterns, local weather conditions, wind strength and direction, and air temperature specific to each coastal region. To improve accuracy, we cross-check data from nearby locations and use multiple sources, including offshore buoys, satellite-based sea surface maps, and observations provided by local authorities.
Annual Water Temperature Overview by Month
Monthly Water Temp Ranges
Annual Water Temperature Trend
Picnic Bay sits within Wilsons Promontory on the East Coast of Victoria, opening onto the Bass Strait, and water temperatures here reflect the cool southern ocean. In summer, the sea usually warms to around 18–22 °C, which feels refreshing but comfortable enough for swimming on warm, settled days. Autumn often remains mild, with water temperatures commonly between 16–20 °C, while spring is cooler at roughly 14–18 °C as the ocean gradually warms after winter. During winter, temperatures typically drop to about 11–14 °C, which is cold and generally limits swimming to short dips or those wearing wetsuits.
Monthly Water Temperature Range (Min, Max & Average)
| Month | Min | Avg | Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 15°C | 19°C | 22°C |
| February | 17°C | 19°C | 22°C |
| March | 17°C | 19°C | 21°C |
| April | 15°C | 18°C | 20°C |
| May | 14°C | 16°C | 18°C |
| June | 12°C | 14°C | 16°C |
| July | 10°C | 13°C | 15°C |
| August | 10°C | 12°C | 14°C |
| September | 11°C | 13°C | 15°C |
| October | 12°C | 14°C | 16°C |
| November | 14°C | 16°C | 18°C |
| December | 15°C | 18°C | 21°C |
* Click on a month to view detailed water temperature data.
Picnic Bay: Weather Forecast
March 21
March 22
March 23
March 24
Local Water Conditions and Nearby Spots
Nearby Beaches and Water Temperatures
Leonard Bay
Squeaky Beach
Whisky Bay Beach
Norman Beach
Tidal River
Little Oberon Bay
Oberon Bay
Swimming Conditions
Swimming at Picnic Bay is allowed and can be quite enjoyable when conditions are right. The bay is smaller and partly influenced by surrounding headlands, which can soften wave energy compared to more exposed beaches nearby. That said, Bass Strait swells and currents can still be present, so swimming is best suited to confident swimmers, particularly in summer when the water is warmest and the sea is calmer. On good days, the water is clear and entry is straightforward, making it a pleasant spot for a refreshing swim. In cooler months, most people keep swims brief or avoid the water altogether. Overall, Picnic Bay offers clean water, clear seasonal temperature changes, and rewarding swimming opportunities in a sheltered-feeling yet still wild coastal setting.
🏄♀️ Nearby Surf Spots and Water Temperatures
Picnic Bay (Wilsons Promontory)
Squeaky Beach (Wilsons Promontory)
Buckleys Reef (Wilsons Promontory)
Norman Bay (Wilsons Promontory)
Darbys (Wilsons Promontory)
Oberon Bay (Wilsons Promontory)
Sealers Cove (Wilsons Promontory)
Sandy Point
Location, Type and Nearby Places
Address: Wilsons Promontory Rd, Wilsons Promontory VIC 3960
Water Temperature in Nearby Places
